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Prediction for CME (2025-11-04T22:53:00-CME-001)CME Observed Time: 2025-11-04T22:53ZiSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/42418/-1 CME Note: CME observed to the NE in SOHO LASCO C2/C3, GOES CCOR-1, and STEREO A COR2, with a notably irregular diffuse leading edge. The source is an M1.7 flare from AR 14272 (N25E36) peaking at 2025-11-04T22:44Z observed in GOES SUVI 131. Also observed as field line breaking, dimming, and small post eruptive arcades in GOES SUVI 171/195/284/304 with some loose filament ejecta in GOES SUVI 304. CME Shock Arrival Time: 2025-11-07T04:48Z Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME: ---- Predicted Arrival Time: 2025-11-07T04:00Z Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 5.0 - 7.0 Prediction Method: Median of all Methods Prediction Method Note: This is the auto generated median of all submitted predictions for this CME.Lead Time: 35.42 hour(s) Difference: 0.80 hour(s) Prediction submitted by Auto Generated (CCMC) on 2025-11-05T17:23Z |
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